Probability, Uncertainty & Risk in the Environment (PURE)

Programme overview

The Probability, Uncertainty & Risk in the Environment (PURE) action was a collaboration of the research programme - PURE and a research and knowledge exchange network - the PURE network - external link - and directly related to the delivery of the NERC natural hazards science theme.

The aim of the PURE programme was to improve the assessment and quantification of uncertainty and risk in natural hazards by developing new methods and demonstrating their applicability to enhance the uptake of natural hazards science.

Background & objectives

Natural hazards claim thousands of lives every year, and causes damage worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Hurricane Katrina cost the US government an estimated $105 billion, while the Fukushima disaster cost around $309 billion. Closer to home, more than five million UK citizens live in properties thought to be at risk of flooding, putting assets worth some £200 billion at risk. The number of major disasters resulting from natural hazards has risen dramatically since the 1970s, and is still increasing. The aim of the PURE network was to stimulate good practice guidance and standardisation of the assessment and quantification of uncertainty and risk across the natural hazards community.

The number of major disasters resulting from natural hazards has risen dramatically since the 1970s, and is still increasing. PURE brought about the expertise needed to develop a structured approach to developing accurate risk assessments for natural hazards. For more information please see the PURE Knowledge Exchange - external link - website.

Reports & key findings

Award details are shown in our online grants browser - Grants on the Web.

View details of funded applications - external link

Funding awards allocated for NERC PURE Associates (Harnessing science for improved risk assessment) in October 2013 can be found in the document below. Case studies and further information about these projects can be found on the PURE network website, see related links.

PURE Associates funded awards - October 2013 (PDF, 131KB)

End of programme brochure - PURE - Transforming the quantification and communication of natural hazard risk (PDF, 4.3MB)